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Peter Callaghan is a local columnist. He’s covered the
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Stuart Elway's latest poll, which contacted 405 registered voters Oct. 16-19, shows that Tim Eyman's Initiative 985 (traffic congestion) is leading 49-33 with 18 percent undecided.
Elway's poll has a 5 percent margin for error. (If you did the poll 100 times, it would turn out this way 95 times.) Elways said this is his last poll before the election.
Booth Gardner's Initiative 1000 (assisted suicide), is leading 55-37, with 8 percent undecided.
The SEIU's Initiative 1029 (homecare worker training), is leading 72-10, with 18 percent undecided.
(My colleague, Jason Hagey, is posting an item about the governor's race, so I'm looking down the ballot.)
There are so, so many undecideds with only two weeks to go.
"That's what keeps them up at night," Elway said of the other statewide office seekers.
Rob McKenna leads John Ladenburg 48-29 in the attorney general race, with 23 percent undecided.
Doug Sutherland leads Peter Goldmark 37-33 in the lands commissioner race, with 30 percent undecided.
Jim McIntire is leading Allen Martin 36-27 in state treasurer race, with 37 percent undecided.
Randy Dorn leads Terry Bergeson 31-27 in the schools superintendent race, with 42 percent undecided.
Brad Owen leads Marcia McCraw 46-24 in the lieutenant governor race, with 31 percent undecided.
Mike Kreidler leads John Adams 39-24 for insurance commissioner, with 37 percent undecided.
Sam Reed leads Jason Osgood 47-28 for secretary of state, with 25 percent undecided.
Brian Sonntag leads Dick McEntee 49-22 for auditor, with 29 percent undecided.
COMMENTS:
It would certainly be easy enough to check, comparing his last polls to others as well as the actual election results.
The tricky thing in this race will be to accurately predict the behavior of folks that usually don't vote - which there will be a lot of in this election.
Independents and undecideds also provide challenges likely beyond the reach of even the most capable of pollsters in close races like that of Gregoire/Rossi.
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