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National polls are showing Washington's governor race as a virtual dead heat, but Seattle pollster Stuart Elway continues to show Gov. Chris Gregoire with a lead over challenger Dino Rossi.
The latest Elway Poll shows Gregoire increasing her lead over Rossi to 51 percent to 39 percent, up from 50 percent to 42 percent in September.
By comparison, a Survey USA poll conductd for KING-TV and KATU-TV released last week showed Gregoire with 48 percent and Rossi with 47 percent.
A Rasmussen poll released Oct. 3 showed Gregoire and Rossi both with 48 percent.
The latest Elway results are exactly at the average of the results over the last three months, Elway reports. Ten percent of voters are undecided in the Elway Poll, a figure that's higher than the other polls.
The results are based on telephone interviews with 405 registered voters conducted between Oct. 16-19. The margin of error is 5 percent.
Voters were asked who they intended to vote for, unlike in previous polls where they were asked whether they were inclined to "definitely" or "probably" vote for each candidate.
Gregoire kept all of her "probables" from September and added 1 percent from the undecided column, according to The Elway Poll. Rossi lost 3 percent overall.
Four years ago, none of the polls forecast a 133-vote margin of victory for Gregoire.
In October 2004, Elway's poll was closer to matching with other polls at the time. An Elway poll conducted Oct. 14-16, 2004 put Gregoire ahead of Rossi 45 percent to 38 percent.
Strategic Vision put Gregoire ahead of Rossi 47 percent to 42 percent, while a Mason-Dixon poll put Gregoire ahead 48 percent to 43 percent.
Click ahead for more details from the new Elway poll.
Neither candidate had total support from their parties, Elway reported.
Gregoire had the support of 85 percent of Democrats interviewed, while Rossi had support from 87 percent of Republicans.
Gregoire received support from 83 percent of Obama voters, Elway reported, while Rossi had 86 percent of McCain voters.
Elway's poll number cast doubt on the idea that Rossi will attract a significant number of Obama voters -- Rossi had the support of 8 percent of the Obama voters surveyed, while Gregoire had the same proportion of McCain voters, Elway reported.
