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Median home prices in Pierce County dropped in August even as the number of homes on the market declined.
Figures released Tuesday by the Northwest Multiple Listing Service showed a 11.9 percent from the same time a year ago.
The median price for a single-family home or condo was $250,975. It’s the 11th drop in the past year. That price is about $4,000 below the median for July. Last August, the median home price was $285,000.
There were 1,871 new listings in August, about 400 fewer than last year’s 2,291. This year has also seen a large drop in closed sales, with 736 in August compared to 1,120 last year. July saw 796 closed sales. Still, Washington has fared better than other regions, especially California and Florida where prices have declined much further.
Pat Maddock, an agent with Coldwell Banker Bain and a former president of the Pierce County Association of Realtors, said he just got back from a three-week vacation, but even on the road, he still thought about the real estate market.
He checked in on different areas across the West Coast, and is convinced that Western Washington is in great shape. Even though the statistics look rough for Pierce County, it is nothing compared to areas such as Phoenix and Las Vegas.
Low prices, lots of homes on the market and low interest rates continue to show that it is a fantastic time to be a buyer. But because of this trend, buyers are “sitting on their hands,” thinking things could get even better and waiting to buy.
“If you are waiting for the market to bottom out, you’re going to miss it,” Maddock said. “You don’t know it’s at its lowest until it climbs upward.”
The most telling statistic to Dick Beeson, NWMLS director and owner of Windermere Commencement Associates, is that there is growing competition – statistics show a 10 percent drop in the number of houses for sale and a 20 percent drop of new listings.
“There is a declining inventory,” he said. “The selection is a little less, and competition is a little bit stronger, because only the strong survive.”
But sellers still have issues to face. Low prices and low rate of closed sales mean it is easy to make the wrong decisions, Maddock said.
“It’s very easy to overprice your home, it’s very tempting to overprice your home, and it’s suicidal to overprice your home,” he said.
COMMENTS:
And, that in my thinking, makes a complete article and cites what might be missing from discovery information sources, will cause us (or at lease me) to think: I need yet to find these additional facts for the rest of this story closure.
I say we have an Open House blog party at the News Tribune. I maybe the only one there but at least I showed up.
Ray Pepper
Broker
www.500Realty.net
Ray- My name isn't on my posts as I don't participate in this blog to generate business. But, again I think you knew that.
Ray, why is it so important to you that people post their name on the blog? I'm in the business and like Mike_T I don't use this blog to promote my business as you do!
Look, maybe they're right and we've hit "bottom." Then again, these agents were saying a year ago that Washington was going to avoid the downturn completely. Clearly, they were flat-out wrong. Perhaps that should have been mentioned in this article? What exactly are these agents' powers of prediction? It seems to me just as likely that, since the downturn hit us later, the "bottom" will hit us later too.
Next time please consider some "authorities" who are at least somewhat objective on this issue. Real estate agents are salespersons--nothing wrong with that, of course. But salespersons are not the person a journalist should go to looking for advice on the right time to buy a particular product.
I truly wish you didn't post this remark. The bottom of the market will be prolonged and it will not be a specific month. Again, I wish Agents and Mtg professionals will base their opinions on facts not trips along the West Coast that indicate we are in better shape then others. Its like telling a patient suffering from a disease , well it could be worse you could have cancer.
Find investors for their opinions. People who put their money where their mouth is. Look what they are buying. Do you need a list of names? Maybe you can watch BZH, LEN, KBH...Watching the home builders gap up and sustain will be a sign of a recovery. The mkt is a forward looking indicator and its telling us all the REAL MESSAGE...I strongly urge everyone to listen to what the CEO's of AXP, AIG, C, and WB are telling us. These are the "experts" to listen to.
Ray Pepper
Broker
www.500Realty.net
Mike-T: Thank you for asking that question; it follows for truth of contained within presented article.
Well, the intent of my suggestion to "name that dog" and their title for "what paw they have placed into this article's content"; as a result, was not directed toward any real estate person, company; it follows, I consider the responsive and pending article input information sources would have been title companies, builders, multiple-listing service, mortgage lenders, City of Tacoma for taxes paid, and the Pierce County Assessors office sales data for trends with Pierce County; but not a sales-person for real estate company response.
And, just thinking about residential home sales; as a result, I have always wondered why when a person purchases a wood frame home; naturally the home is reverting back to wood-rot, decay, and destruction over many years. But, within our residential neighborhoods home structure values continue to increase with time as the structure deteriorates? With business use property this effect is accounted for with deprecation credits and with time the value become zero or salvage evaluation. So, your thought about how this works for the average home-owner?
Maybe the average home-buyer is getting smarter; as a result, looking at what they get for the current real estate seller's prices, with what they are willing to pay, and cost of home fixes or improvements over future years. And I almost forgot, there most-likely is a lot of incentive for our County, City, and State Governments to support these inflated home values for property that would otherwise be depreciating each year until it value is just gone.
So, let me and everybody know what your thoughts are why prices of homes went down and why people should just-step-up and pay more in the tomorrows?
MJ Arnold ~ mom, wife, dog owner, teacher and home owner.
The system is broken and when the repair is finished I assure everyone here Real Estate will be conducted differently for Buyer and Seller and we will all look back at the 4-6% to sell a home and laugh. The Buffet is coming to a rapid end. Ask the folks at J L Scott about yesterdays latest office closure . Another one bites the dust!
Soon you will walk into the major Brokerages and their signs will read " Buy from this office and receive 5000-15000 towards your purchase." This will be the only way they can compete. Heck, nobody pays 3% to List anymore. Its already 2%. *** But, soon(and far more importantly) the public will see the big picture that every home listed on the MLS has money that is the buyers. The Buyers will be educated on how to simply ask for it and in return the Buyer will assist their agent in finding their home.
Its all about education.
Ray Pepper
Broker
www.500Realty.net
suggests. It's just a "different" model. I think that there is plenty of room out there for more than one fee structure. There may or may not be any national trend toward major change yet but people like me do not see the rationale in paying a fixed percentage when we all know that it isn't twice as much work to do a deal on a 600K home compared to a 300K one.
As you know I cannot see what the conventional brokerages are still charging to LIST. I can just tell you from my last 6 HUD's each of the brokerages charged 2%. Getting 3% from sellers in the next 5 years to LIST will be a miraculous achievement.
In monitoring Brokerages I'm just amazed by the amount of new ones that come out every month offering 199, 299, 599, 1%......The secret is out my friend. Now, and far more importantly, is educating the BUYERS to always ask their Agent:
"If I help you find my home, how much will you give me?" Many of the independents at Skyline are doing it now...
Time is on our side. The public is far too smart to let this continue. The key to Real Estate will be lead generation and making profits from advertisers not directly from the consumer. BANK ON IT!
Ray Pepper
Broker
www.500Realty.net
When people are beating a path to your door, you really don't need to discount your product or service. Agents that creamed it out during the fat years, are now realizing that times are leaner, and they have to cut there fees to get more business. This is supply and demand 101.
Zillow's CFO Spencer Rascoff was interviewed on yahoo tech ticker. His basic contention is that people may get upset about how much they have to pay to sell or buy a home, however, they still use their traditional, Real Estate Professionals to get the job done, and he really doesn't expect that to change anytime soon. My opinion is that buyers and sellers would really like to spend less on the biggest asset in their personal portfolio's, however, they don't want to make a mistake, so they end up doing business with a traditional professional. This might change over time, but it will change slowly if at all.
We agree to disagree. Lets discuss it in person at the Tacoma/Seattle Home Show. Just sit with us for an hour in the booth and watch what REAL people tell us.
"I'm not going to pay an Agent more then my doctor"
"My agent did nothing but put it on the mkt"
"I found the home. She just opened the door"
"I hate agents"
"I wish I knew you existed before I bought"
I can go on and on. The fact is this. Yes, it will change. Slowly, is up for debate. But, my oh my, how it will change.
Again, I say it.....time is on our side.
Ray Pepper
Broker
www.500Realty.net
"I'm not going to pay an Agent more then my doctor"
"My agent did nothing but put it on the mkt"
"I found the home. She just opened the door"
"I hate agents"
"I wish I knew you existed before I bought"
If I where King of the world I'd bannish such speech, tar and feather the blogger, and throw him into the dungeon, only to come out to apoligize to every blogger he has ever offended. ( That should take him about a year ) Then, he may come out seeing the errors of his ways and be a productive agent once more.
I have been an RN for over a decade and served in the Army for 10 years. The 2 most outrageous practices being conducted today are 4-6% to sell a home and the Don't Ask Don't Tell Policy in the military.
One is slowly coming to an end and I suspect the other to abruptly be terminated. Its all about common sense and education. When you have neither you will remain a victim. I'm an advocate for change and be thankful you have a choice now.
Ray Pepper
Broker
www.500Realty.net
"I'm not a Lesbian. I hate men, but I'm not a Lesbian"
Elaine Benes
and
"Let me tell you, I didn't intentinally bare myself, but now, I wish I had. For its not me who has been exposed, but you. For I have seen the nipple on your soul!
Elaine Benes
in re delusional discount broker--
your wasting your life!
I am not. What you call wasting I call living. IM LIVING my life!
Do you have a job?
No!
You got money?
No!
Do you have a woman?
No!
Do you have any prospects?
No!
You got anything on the Horizon?
No!
Do you have any action at all?
No!
Do you have any conceivable reason for getting up in the morning?
I like to blog in the News Tribune!
againstthetide
(all in good fun)
Now if I list with you I pay $500 up front and can see that you spend your time blogging and sitting at a booth at a home show. Or I can list with a professional that has a proven statistical track record watch them get the job done..again I am not out any money like the $500 I gave you up front and I am only paying upon results of which terms I have agreed to. There is no guarantee with you except the %500 I am out...I believe people are willing to pay for a professional. There is enough room for all business models...just as there are different stores to shop at...Nordstrom or Walmart, Kmart or Macy's. There is a difference out there. But I am still not sold on why shopping with you and giving you money up front to have you sit on a folding chair at a home show will help me.......
Anger?....Seinfeld quotes? Blogging for me is relaxation. I don't like TV except for CNBC, Seinfeld, and Family Guy. I must say I'm also captivated by our latest Presidency race. But, I assure you I never get mad over anything in the blogs. Except that darn RCG. They drive me nutts! A group of Agents and Mtg reps pacifing each other and unwilling to OPEN their eyes!
Ray Pepper
Broker
www.500Realty.net
I am not an agent, I am not an investor, I am not a bubbler or blogger.
What I am is an average Joe who is in debt for a condo in Tacoma. Although I still have equity after the long year of declines.
We listed with an agent last September, at 1.5% for the first $100k and 3.5% for anything over $100k. With 2.5% to the selling agent.
We got an MLS listing, a keybox and a glossy flyer in the mailbox. A couple market updates but nothing that I could not have found out myself. The only thing I don't get as an outside is access to the MLS data, but that is changing as well.
Some showings, no sale.
We relisted with another agent, 6% traditional commission. Same thing...MLS listing, a keybox and a glossy flyer in our mailbox.
Some showings, no sale.
Now some of you should at least listen to Ray. As it stands, I would pay approximate 8% to sell my condo. That includes commissions, excise taxes and other fees. If by some miracle I can sell the condo at $210k that is $17k to sell my condo. ABSURD!
If I need a MLS listing, a keybox and a glossy flyer, why would I not pay Ray $500 bucks. I could make my own flyers and offer the selling agent 3%. I would pay approximately 5% for commission, excise taxes and other fees. Total on $210k = $11,000.
Why would I not want to save $6,000 dollars? That is a pretty good chunk which would go back into a downpayment on the home we want to buy.
You all my not listen to Ray any longer, but if he has buyers ready to go, and I can have an additional $6,000 at the end of the deal, then Ray would again have another buyer, with downpayment ready to go.
A lot of the agenst today need to find buyers and no longer be looking for listings. Just my opinion after being an average Joe who endured this martket over the last year. As it stand now, we are riding this out until next year. With price declines and high 8% cost to sell, we are not willing to give up half of our proceeds to anybody.
I don't know if my situation is the intended fallout of the market crash, but that is my situation. Essentially our family remains in a condo when we would be a buyer if somebody can find a way to start moving property again. Charging a high cost to provide service is not going to correct this problem and get us with our excellent credit and sizeable down payment into market
She must have thought I was not intelligent enough to realize that it was "my" money the seller was going to use when paying her after the close was complete. I couldn't understand how the maximium of 40 hours she was going to spend working for us was worth $13500.00. Hello, my boss doesnt pay me $337.50 per hour to perform my job. After afew showings and her inability to listen to our "Needs" we terminated our contract with her sat out of the market for a few months and then found Redfin.
After looking at Redfin's model I was impress and even though many would call them a discount broker there was nothing discount regarding the service they provided. I knew what I wanted, how much I was willing to spend and where i wanted it... once I found the hoe of my dreams I called Trevor (my Redfin guy) while standing on the front porch and asked him if he thought I could just knock on the door. His reply... why not? The owners were more than happy to give us a tour. Trevor of course gave us another tour on the following Monday after which we sat in "my" kitchen and wrote the offer. When the owners arrived, we thanked them for the oppertunity to see their beautiful home and left. Trevor took over from their, he bickered on the price, recommended a house inspector, attended the inspection, and arrange for us to measure the house and on another occasion arranged that we swing by to show out of state relatives all prior to the 30 day closing... What's discount to that over the top, beyond exceptational service.... NOTHING!!
Trevor Smith did more via Redfin than another other JLS of WDM agents did for us. If his service was discount than he puts all of the traditional agents to shame.
Buyers and Sellers dont want discount we want excellence, but when the normal is subpar than we will look of alternitives that strive for a loftier goal and purpose.
MJ Arnold ~ wife, mom, dog owner, Educator and home owner!!
Danny you nailed it. Thats why we get alot of people from conventional brokerages. They can lower their price by 3% and list with us. As the MLS stands today the seller needs to just pay a fair buyers agent commission (2.5-3%) and get access to the MLS. In addition the Seller needs expert advice on pricing with a CMA and Agent assitance when they get an offer. We offer all these for 500. We require the seller to simply just shoot their own pictures and email them to us..If you can't do it then we have Paul the photographer do it for 40.00. Your sign is up the next day with your MLS keybox and free flier emailed to you. None of this is rocket science. But, most on here lead you to believe it is.
Pay the Agent who brings you the offer!! They have the real value in real estate!! Let me say this to you one more time. Pay the Agent who brings you the offer!!! But, soon enough everyone will know this and look back and laugh!
Ray Pepper
Broker
www.500Realty.net
If you've been that unhappy with your Realtor, if all they did was put your home on the MLS and give you a flier, if as a real estate agent you think that a CMA and the MLS is how you sell a home, then you get what you deserve.
I've said it before, and I'll repeat it, INTERVIEW MULTIPLE AGENTS. Know what you want from an agent and ask them how they'll achieve that. It's not hard to become a real estate agent...it's hard to stay a successful one.
Agents who just put the home on the MLS and give you a flier, agents who push just to make a sale, CAN'T and WON'T last.
My average commission is about $8k. That's good money. But how many people would I have to dupe, how many people could I provide poor service to, how many people would continue to pay me for unmet expectations, before I'd have to get another job?
A successful real estate agent's business is built off of referrals and repeat business. It has to be. $8k isn't enough money to live off of for very long. If all we did was screw people and disappoint them, do you really think we'd keep earning enough money to survive on? Obviously, the good agents are pleasing enough consumers that we can stay in business charging our "absurd" and "insane" prices.
I read through the TNT's business blog, and can't find a single other profession where the professionals are constantly being asked to defend (or even reveal) their pay.
It's not the Realtors' job to defend our pay; it's the Realtors' job to earn our pay and the CONSUMERS' JOB to hire the right agent. If all you do is walk into an office, call a number on a sign, respond to a postcard, or hire your high school buddy, then expect to be disappointed.
Every profession--EVERY ONE--has good folks and bad ones. There are bad ones in real estate, partly because it's so easy to get a license, partly because the public hires agents for the dumbest reasons, without interviewing anyone.
How do I know I'm worth what I charge? Because my clients continue to HAPPILY pay me and I continue to DO THE JOB that I told them I'd do.
I'm not looking for the land of sugar plum fairies where it's all good news all the time. But rather a blog where issues are discussed in depth and users don't fear being bashed by one party.
There's got to be a good one out there, and this aint it.
We've been in a housing bubble that pushed prices up due to easy to obtain 0-down loans and speculative investor frenzy. Such loans are no longer available, and frenzied investors are a thing of the past, so house prices are correcting. It's all about supply and demand. Japan went through a similar situation in the 80's and 90's. Here is a graph of how long it took to shake out:
http://www.canadian-housing-price-charts.235.ca/images/JapanCompare-9-27-06.jpg
So don't believe anybody who tells you that house prices fluctuate as fast as stock prices. There is massive liquidity in the stock markets compared to the housing market, thus stock prices move fast and house prices move slow. Adding to this fact, it is impossible for house prices to rise rapidly right now because we are in the midst of a credit crunch the likes of which we haven't seen since the Great Depression.
For further entertainment, go to http://housingcorrection.com/ and click on the "Median Home Price Charting Tool." Punch in Seattle, San Diego, and Santa Barbara. Take note, that every dot on the graph represents 3 months, and every month that houses fell, Realtors claimed, "Now is a great time to buy. If you don't act now, you'll miss the bottom."
Noting that the Puget Sound area is lagging CA home prices by more than a year, ask yourself how terrible you would feel if you were gullible enough to have believed the real estate salespeople. There are many really excellent RE agents out there who will work hard for you in your best interest. In a market like this, you can be very choosy about whom you choose to represent you. Do yourself a favor and choose one who doesn't repeat to same old mantra of "Now is a great time to buy." Get somebody more informed than that who wants to see you succeed. Having said that, I personally recommend waiting on buying until houses correct at least another 10% in the Puget Sound area.
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