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A recent Webware column by Rafe Needleman names one of our favorite Web sites, Seattle-based Zillow, among 11 Web 2.0 start-ups "in serious danger of falling off a cliff."
Zillow's the site that gives approximations of your home's value based on sales and market data of nearby and like properties.
Here's what he says:
"The real estate site's revenue model is advertising. Real estate and bank advertising. Unless the real estate site starts charging for foreclosure listings, I don't see it doing too well in a hunkered-down economy in which people are trying to hold on to their homes for dear life, not upgrade."
At Zillow, as you might guess, they disagree.
Here's part of their reply from Zillow director of community relations David Gibbons:
"We actually do have a revenue-generating relationship with the supplier of our foreclosure listings, thanks, You're right that it's one of the opportunities to make lemonade right now. Zillow traffic is actually up 40 percent from last year. We're fortunate to enjoy a very strong brand in a fragmented real estate market."
Gibbons says on-line ad growth is out-stripping traffic growth.
"I won't deny that these are tough times and there's no free lunch in the real estate media industry right now. We've been very frank about the fact that this market delays IPO plans for Zillow. But there are opportunities in every market and many home buyers and owners are more interested in the value of their homes today than ever."
COMMENTS:
They bring an exceptional service and single handedly crushed HouseValues.com (ticker SOLD)
I know many sellers who believe the value of their home is higher than reality because of zillow. I can't begin to imagine how many buyers are paying too much as they relied on the "zestimates".
Redfin laid off 20% of their staff, look for similar reductions at Zillow.
The house down the street sold last August for 230,000. Pierce county has it valued at $211,300 for the 2009 assessment.
Maybe Zillow is not the far off here in the North/West end of Tacoma.
I think Zillow will be around. Maybe they will be assimilated into the giant Google organization, but the concept is sound.
Zillow has a TON of eyeballs and is one of the clear leaders in a MASSIVE industry. They dominate in the online RE space. I know all the agents love to complain about them but this isn't about whether their 'zestimates' are completely accurate or not. It's about monetizing all that traffic.
They have a great brand that everyone knows. Remember, 80%+ of people start their RE search online and the online RE ad dollars still dominate offline. There is a ton of upside potential for them.
There will be layoffs in almost all industries. Just because they are trimming down due to the economic downturn doesn't mean they will be "falling off a cliff", lol.
They aren't profitable yet and probably won't be for a few years but their online traffic keeps growing and has done quite well for a company only 3 years old. The advertising spending will continue to migrate from offline to online.
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