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Tacoma and South Puget Sound Real Estate Blog
Wednesday, October 15th, 2008
Posted by John Gillie @ 09:27:56 am

A recent Webware column by Rafe Needleman names one of our favorite Web sites, Seattle-based Zillow, among 11 Web 2.0 start-ups "in serious danger of falling off a cliff."

Zillow's the site that gives approximations of your home's value based on sales and market data of nearby and like properties.

Here's what he says:

"The real estate site's revenue model is advertising. Real estate and bank advertising. Unless the real estate site starts charging for foreclosure listings, I don't see it doing too well in a hunkered-down economy in which people are trying to hold on to their homes for dear life, not upgrade."

At Zillow, as you might guess, they disagree.

Here's part of their reply from Zillow director of community relations David Gibbons:

"We actually do have a revenue-generating relationship with the supplier of our foreclosure listings, thanks, You're right that it's one of the opportunities to make lemonade right now. Zillow traffic is actually up 40 percent from last year. We're fortunate to enjoy a very strong brand in a fragmented real estate market."

Gibbons says on-line ad growth is out-stripping traffic growth.

"I won't deny that these are tough times and there's no free lunch in the real estate media industry right now. We've been very frank about the fact that this market delays IPO plans for Zillow. But there are opportunities in every market and many home buyers and owners are more interested in the value of their homes today than ever."

Categories: Housing prices, Appraisals, Marketing 8 comments

COMMENTS:

hawkfan44 @ 15:47 - Wednesday, October 15th, 2008 Email
Zillow has been a joke from day 1, any full functioning human has known that. The market isn't doing anything but exposing it.
pepperrealty1 @ 17:35 - Wednesday, October 15th, 2008 Email
I disagree. Zillow will be around for a very long time. Maybe not in its current state though. They have HUGE web traffic and as soon as they turn that into more Lead Generation and consolidate into a National Brokerage watch out.

They bring an exceptional service and single handedly crushed HouseValues.com (ticker SOLD)
walnutkitten @ 19:36 - Wednesday, October 15th, 2008
Another "watch out" from Ray-Is that like a "shout out?"
Mike_T @ 19:59 - Wednesday, October 15th, 2008 Email
Their bogus "zestimates" are based off of tax assessments, not current market values or trends.

I know many sellers who believe the value of their home is higher than reality because of zillow. I can't begin to imagine how many buyers are paying too much as they relied on the "zestimates".

Redfin laid off 20% of their staff, look for similar reductions at Zillow.
fatuous @ 21:16 - Wednesday, October 15th, 2008 Email
My house is listed as $239,000 at Zillow. Pierce county has it valued at $230,800 for 2009.

The house down the street sold last August for 230,000. Pierce county has it valued at $211,300 for the 2009 assessment.

Maybe Zillow is not the far off here in the North/West end of Tacoma.

I think Zillow will be around. Maybe they will be assimilated into the giant Google organization, but the concept is sound.
boomer7 @ 01:17 - Thursday, October 16th, 2008
OMG, that article by Rafe is joke and nothing but linkbait. He has gone as far to lump Myspace in there as well, LOL. Yeah, they are clearly hurting... almost $1 Billion a year in ad revenues...

Zillow has a TON of eyeballs and is one of the clear leaders in a MASSIVE industry. They dominate in the online RE space. I know all the agents love to complain about them but this isn't about whether their 'zestimates' are completely accurate or not. It's about monetizing all that traffic.

They have a great brand that everyone knows. Remember, 80%+ of people start their RE search online and the online RE ad dollars still dominate offline. There is a ton of upside potential for them.
cbrettshaw @ 11:17 - Sunday, October 19th, 2008 Email
Brett Shaw from Cyberhomes:

@Mike T: Very good prediction. Zillow this week laid off 25% of their staff.

I guess this answers the original question as far as bringing it down goes.
boomer7 @ 15:29 - Sunday, October 19th, 2008
@cbrettshaw

There will be layoffs in almost all industries. Just because they are trimming down due to the economic downturn doesn't mean they will be "falling off a cliff", lol.

They aren't profitable yet and probably won't be for a few years but their online traffic keeps growing and has done quite well for a company only 3 years old. The advertising spending will continue to migrate from offline to online.

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